Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at PI STORE CHAMPIONSHIP !!
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-6-0
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1161–1396
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1244
Q3 1403
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 38.9% | -8.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.4% | +8.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
